What's the weather going to be like at Hazeltine National Golf Club, site of the 2016 Ryder Cup? Bring a windbreaker for pleasant days, a sweater for the evenings and leave the ski jacket at home.
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Based on National Weather Service averages dating back to 1891, the weather for Chaska, Minn., in late September and early October is particularly pleasant, with minimal rainfall, daily highs averaging in the mid-60s and overnight lows in the 40s.
Had the Ryder Cup been held this weekend at Hazeltine National, fans would have been treated to some spectacular weather: according to the Weather Channel, it was 81 degrees on Friday, and 82 as the high on Saturday and Sunday. That's after an unusual late summer cool spell that engulfed much of the Great Lakes area.
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However, with the 2016 Olympics added to the golfing schedule, the Ryder Cup moves back one week to Sept. 27-Oct. 2, 2016, which could make the weather a little more like what fans experienced at Gleneagles, Scotland -- cooler and perhaps a bit windier. That's the forecast for Chaska next weekend.
What about snow? Well, according to NWS data, the earliest one-inch snowfall recorded in the Minneapolis area came on Sept 26, 1942, which apparently melted rather quickly. But the second-earliest didn't occur until mid-October, and the earliest report of a one-inch snow depth is Oct. 13. So based on the weather history of the area, there's a 1 in 125 year chance of snow showers. In other words, it's not very likely.
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In fact, there's a better chance of "Indian summer," or a short period of unseasonably warm, dry weather in early fall. That usually occurs after the first frost, which for Minneapolis is between Oct. 1-10.